Zestimate Accuracy - Is Zillow Higher or Lower Than Appraisal? (2024)

Posted on December 7, 2023 (February 19, 2024) by Rob at 714Web

If you’re a homeowner considering selling, you’ve likely turned to sites like Zillow to get an estimate on your home’s value before listing it. However, you may be wondering— is the Zestimate accuracy typically higher or lower than an appraisal when I go to sell my house?

Getting an accurate home appraisal is key to having a smooth sale process. If the appraisal comes under your asking price, it could derail a potential deal. As an informed seller, understanding how Zestimates relate to appraisals gives you more confidence when setting that listing price.

Key Takeaways

  • Zestimates provide reasonable nationwide home value estimates, but have a wider range of accuracy for individual properties.
  • Unique home attributes and real-time market shifts get accounted for better in professional appraisals, making gaps between the two hard to predict.
  • On average, Zillow Zestimates come in higher about half the time and lower the other half compared to appraisals.
  • Consult a local real estate agent to understand how Zestimates currently relate to appraised values in your specific area before listing your home.
  • Get a free home valuation report from a local real estate professional

How Accurate Are Zillow Zestimates?

Zillow uses a complex algorithm weighing various home data to provide Zestimate home values. According to Zillow, Zestimates are accurate nationwide to within 5% of actual market value about 81% of the time.

However, for an individual home, the accuracy range is wider—about 10% higher to lower than the eventual sales price. So your specific Zestimate could still miss the final appraised value by a bigger margin in either direction.

Zestimate Accuracy – Why Do Zestimates and Appraisals Differ?

There are a few reasons why your Zillow Zestimate accuracy may be wrong. It may come in higher or lower than a home appraisal:

  • Zestimates are automated estimates, while appraisals involve detailed home inspections to determine value based on overall condition. As a result, things missed by the Zestimate algorithm can get accounted for in appraisals.
  • Zillow relies heavily on past sales data in the neighborhood surrounding the home. But appraisers also factor in potential value trends, demand shifts, and even issues with the home itself not available in public data.
  • Your home may have unique quirks the Zestimate can’t accurately gauge the impact of, or you may have made custom renovations an appraiser deems valuable. These can skew estimates one way or another.

So in general, appraisers make value judgments based on experience and finer home details that automated estimates alone can’t replicate.

Are Zillow Zestimates Usually Higher or Lower Than Appraisal Value?

Industry analysis has shown Zestimates, on average, to be higher than appraisal values around half of the time. For the other half, Zestimates come in lower than eventual appraised worth.

However, according to real estate analysts:

  • In a hot, seller-friendly market, Zillow Zestimates are likelier to be lower than appraisal values. Demand drives rapid home price growth that outpaces Zestimates.
  • In cooling markets where demand slows, Zestimates tend to overshoot appraisals since they rely heavily on past sales that reflect formerly hotter markets.

The overall Zestimate accuracy range depends greatly on your specific area and conditions. A local real estate agent can offer better insight on how Zestimates in your city or neighborhood currently compare to professional appraisals.

In the end, an appraisal remains the true test of your home’s market value at the time of sale. Rely more heavily on those figures when setting asking prices or evaluating purchase offers.

The bottom line is Zillow offers a useful starting gauge, but true appraised value determines what a buyer ultimately will pay. Arm yourself with perspective on their Zestimate accuracy differences before selling so you can price and negotiate confidently!

Can a Houston Realtor® Find My House Value?

As leading Houston real estate agents, Chris Schmidt is the best realtor in the Houston area. He has the market insights, data, and expertise to provide houseowners like you with an accurate assessment of your property’s current value.

Connecting with Your Home Sold Guaranteed Realty - Chris Schmidt Team ensures you receive:

– A customized Comparative Market Analysis pulling the latest comparable sales.

– Precise pricing recommendations based on current market conditions.

– Guidance on how to prepare your house to maximize marketability and achieve top dollar.

We’re here to provide the clarity and confidence you need to price your Houston house right. Call Chris Schmidt and the team at 713-322-5604 to discuss how much your house will sell for in today’s market. Get a free home valuation today!

To Discuss Your Home Sale or Purchase, Call or Text Today and Start Packing!

Zestimate Accuracy - Is Zillow Higher or Lower Than Appraisal? (2024)

FAQs

Zestimate Accuracy - Is Zillow Higher or Lower Than Appraisal? ›

How Accurate Is Zestimate vs Appraisal? A professional real estate appraisal is far more accurate than a Zillow Zestimate. You should keep in mind that a Zestimate is just an estimate based on available data and will often miss vital information on a home's condition and renovations.

How accurate is Zillow Zestimate compared to appraisal? ›

On average, Zillow Zestimates come in higher about half the time and lower the other half compared to appraisals. Consult a local real estate agent to understand how Zestimates currently relate to appraised values in your specific area before listing your home.

Are Zillow estimates usually higher or lower? ›

Median Error. For most major markets, the Zestimate for on-market homes is within 10% of the final sale price more than 95% of the time. The nationwide median error rate for the Zestimate for on-market homes means that half of all on-market homes are within the median error vs. the selling price, and half are not.

Is Zillow's zestimate close to appraisal? ›

A Zestimate is only as accurate as the information Zillow has to base it on. Plus, it depends on what you're comparing it to for accuracy. No home valuation is perfect. Zestimates are meant to be used only as a ballpark view of value, not as an appraisal.

Why is my appraisal so much lower than Zillow? ›

Zillow home value estimates (Zestimates) differ from professional appraisals and may not fully capture the nuances that impact values. Factors like customized features, renovations and hyperlocal market conditions can cause discrepancies.

Is Zillow Zestimate or Redfin more accurate? ›

Zillow: Redfin is more accurate when valuing homes. Both Zillow and Redfin give homes an approximate value, but the Zestimate provided by Zillow has proven slightly less accurate than Redfin's estimate. Final numbers depend significantly on the local market and demand for a property in your particular location.

Why do some homes not have a zestimate? ›

Insufficient transactional data — It's possible we do not have enough county transactional data, so we cannot calculate a Zestimate.

What to do if a Zillow zestimate is wrong? ›

If you're unsatisfied with your Zillow Zestimate, you won't be able to change it directly. But you can influence your Zestimate by updating information about your home, fixing incorrect information, and adding rich details to make sure your home's profile is complete.

Why did my zestimate drop drastically? ›

Shifts in Market Conditions

Changes in the overall real estate market conditions such as supply and demand, interest rates, and affordability in your area also influence periodic Zestimate drops.

How accurate is a Trulia estimate? ›

In some parts of the country, Trulia and Zillow are highly accurate — but those are areas with “open record” laws. In closed record states, Trulia and Zillow use tax appraisals for valuation. Again, in our market, the tax appraisals are inaccurate. Some are higher than market value, some are lower.

How accurate are Realtor.com estimates? ›

Realtor.com estimates are very accurate, but they do not hold 10% of the time. To overcome this scenario, home buyers can compare data provided by Realtor.com with local real estate agents regarding properties available for sale and yield more precise information.

Can a seller back out if an appraisal is low? ›

Unless the seller has a contingency (which is rare), the buyer commits fraud, or the buyer breaches the contract, sellers can't break a contract without consequences. But there are options. Just because the appraisal comes in low doesn't mean you have to accept that price as your sales price.

Do sellers usually lower prices after appraisal? ›

A Standard Contract

The seller agrees to reduce the price to the appraised value. The buyer covers the gap (adding the the down payment) between appraised value and contract price. The shortfall is negotiated and each side covers a portion (buyer adds to the down payment and seller reduces price).

Do houses usually appraise for more than selling price? ›

“You can't always avoid [a low appraisal],” says Megan Walters, a top-rated agent who sells homes more than 41% faster than the average agent in her Columbia, Missouri, market. Most appraisals come in at the right price. According to CoreLogic, in general, appraisals come in below contract only about 7-9% of the time.

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