The future of Spotify is uncertain at best (2024)

Posted inMusic
The future of Spotify is uncertain at best (1)

The Spotify versus Apple Music debate has become one of the fiercest music discourses of the 2010s. The battle between the two streaming giants is a battle of tradeoffs. Apple Music currently has music videos and album write-ups. Spotify answers back with better UI performance, a full toolkit for finding new music, nearly 400 million more users and full support for music sharing through features such as blends and shared playlists, making both finding and sharing new music with friends easier than ever.

Despite being the more popular choice, the ethics of Spotify’s practices are becoming increasingly important in user choice, especially after Spotify raised its prices, ridding the company of its affordability advantage. Whether because of Spotify’s controversial stances on misinformation or its new royalty policy that requires a minimum stream count for a payout, many users are beginning to question their brand loyalty, especially considering their product is sonically inferior.

While the decision to raise prices will ultimately yield the company hundreds of millions of dollars more per month, why change the price now? The answer is obvious: Spotify is struggling.

Many factors are stacked against Spotify. For one, the service doesn’t directly create its own revenue. Artists and labels take up to 70% of the profit from streams, meaning that Spotify only sees between $0.001 and $0.002 per stream — not nearly enough to make up for the close to $10 billion in royalties the service has paid since its inception. Most of Spotify’s revenue must come from advertisem*nts and premium memberships as a result, so raising the subscription price would be the easiest course of action toward increased profits.

Spotify has hemorrhaged 464 million euros (about $500 million) over the last two years before this price hike. This significant loss means that, during this period, Spotify was being held up solely by investors. As a last-ditch effort to maintain their low price, the company acquired Gimlet Media, a podcast production house, and spent millions on exclusive rights to podcasts like Call Her Daddy and The Joe Rogan Experience. This investment doubled the ad revenue generated by podcasts but at a great cost to the company. This year, Spotify has also entered the audiobook game to tap into a new potential market, but it’s too soon to measure whether this move will drive up company profits.

The issues plaguing Spotify point to an unfortunate truth for listeners: Current streaming service models simply aren’t profitable. How do others stay afloat? Services such as Apple Music and Google Play are anchored by large, profitable tech companies. Apple and Google can afford to take losses on music streaming because they have so many other markets and products to keep their services alive. Spotify doesn’t have this same backbone and struggles to stay in the green as a result.

A premium price raise was a necessity if Spotify wanted to stay alive — but did it work? For now, yes. The company reported quarterly profit for the first time in over a year, which is good news for Spotify investors and executives. However, this profit is probably not sustainable. The company still has to keep artists and labels happy by churning out royalties, something that will prove difficult for the independent streaming service that lacks the same bottomless pockets as its competitors. The price hike was a mere band-aid for a larger issue.

So what can Spotify do besides periodically raise prices? Not a lot. It is clear the current music streaming model isn’t sustainable long term, and Spotify can only ride on the coattails of investors for so long. Beyond expanding product reach to podcasts and audiobooks, the company has to make music streaming profitable.

One way to do this is to decrease the cost of acquiring music. This would be done by removing the middleman — record labels — and creating a Spotify label. This cuts the cost of royalties, as Spotify would own the rights to the music offered on their platform. However, this move would undoubtedly prove difficult. If Spotify started its own label, other labels would likely give severe pushback and sign artists to longer-term deals to protect their yields. Even if Spotify somehow managed to create a successful label, other music streaming services would be sure to follow, starting a battle Spotify would inevitably lose. On top of that, this push would only work if Spotify started signing a few big names to entice other artists to follow. Unfortunately for Spotify, to acquire any mainstream talent would require up-front cash, something the struggling company might not be able to afford.

While all hope is not yet lost for Spotify, the platform’s current model is unsustainable. Investors can only hold America’s most popular streaming service up for so long. Spotify needs to change, and it needs to change soon.

Daily Arts Writer Nickolas Holcomb can be reached at nickholc@umich.edu.

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The future of Spotify is uncertain at best (2024)

FAQs

What will Spotify do in the future? ›

The goal for the coming years is to make the Spotify experience that much more personalized using the data that has been collected. This will not only personalize the Spotify experience but also allow the consumers to reduce the efforts they have to make to find the music they love.

Will Spotify stop paying artists in 2024? ›

In 2024, Spotify plans to stop paying artists who do not make 1000 streams yearly. This affects small artists who are just trying to start. It is nothing to be surprised about because the music industry has never treated music artists with consideration.

What is Spotify struggling with? ›

Even as the world's most recognizable music streaming service, Spotify is plagued by an unreliable business model, one in which record companies sit back and rake in royalty payments while artists can struggle to bring in enough cash.

Is Spotify still losing money? ›

Whilst the company has been operating at a loss since its inception, the 2023 figure is an increase in net loss from those reported between 2020 and 2022.

Is Spotify going to survive? ›

Combining the projections for the premium and advertising segments, Spotify could be doing around $30 billion in annual revenue by 2027. Through leverage in the premium business and scaling of podcast advertising, management thinks it can eventually reach gross margins of 30% or higher.

What are the future challenges of Spotify? ›

The possible challenges for Spotify in the future include the inability to produce content, reliance on a single revenue model, and the need to provide more personalized music to users. SpotifyGraph: Visualisation of User's Preferences in Music.

Why are artists pulling out of Spotify? ›

The many artists who have previously stood up to the platform have mostly done so to protest poor financial remuneration for artists: a Spotify stream is worth less than $US0. 004, hardly a proper reflection of the work that goes into writing, arranging, recording and producing a song.

What is the Spotify controversy 2024? ›

The lawsuit states: “On March 1, 2024, without advance notice to the MLC, Spotify unilaterally and unlawfully decided to reduce the Service Provider Revenue reported to the MLC for Premium by almost 50 percent, by improperly characterizing the service as a different type of Subscription Offering and underpaying ...

Is Spotify ripping off artists? ›

Contrary to what you might have heard, Spotify does not pay artist royalties according to a per-play or per-stream rate; the royalty payments that artists receive might vary according to differences in how their music is streamed or the agreements they have with labels or distributors.

Why Spotify is falling? ›

Music streaming is facing competitive and structural challenges that, we argue, will prevent broad-based price increases from becoming a new norm,” Redburn wrote. “Spotify's operating momentum has been impressive, and its new audiobook bundle strategy has allowed it to increase prices independently.

Is there an alternative to Spotify? ›

In terms of audio quality, Deezer and Tidal are often mentioned in the same breath. Deezer also promises high-fidelity lossless audio targeting consumers who are serious about music. There are a bunch of other cool features on this app, though.

Why has Spotify become so bad? ›

Spotify faces particular scrutiny due to its free service tier, which allows users to listen free with advertisem*nts between tracks. The tier has led to a variety of major album releases being delayed or withdrawn from the service.

Is Spotify in decline? ›

Shares of the music-streaming service operator have depreciated by 3.33% over the course of the past month, underperforming the Business Services sector's gain of 0.29% and the S&P 500's gain of 5.11%.

Is Spotify in debt? ›

Total debt on the balance sheet as of June 2024 : $1.92 B

According to Spotify's latest financial reports the company's total debt is $1.92 B. A company's total debt is the sum of all current and non-current debts.

What is the future forecast for Spotify? ›

Based on 28 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Spotify Technology SA in the last 3 months. The average price target is $392.80 with a high forecast of $460.00 and a low forecast of $230.00. The average price target represents a 22.03% change from the last price of $321.88.

What is the future innovation of Spotify? ›

Artificial intelligence: Spotify is using AI to further improve music recommendation, personalization of the experience, and the creation of original content. Augmented reality and virtual reality: Spotify is exploring the use of these technologies to create new immersive listening experiences.

What is the prediction for Spotify? ›

Stock Price Forecast

The 29 analysts with 12-month price forecasts for Spotify Technology stock have an average target of 342.45, with a low estimate of 190 and a high estimate of 430. The average target predicts an increase of 0.75% from the current stock price of 339.90.

What is the long term goal of Spotify? ›

Long term, our goal is to deliver more than 20% revenue growth. We expect our consolidated gross margin to top 30% in the intermediate term.

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